3/9/19 - LEC and LCS League of Legends Predictions

Been so busy getting the site and NHL model running before I could dedicate time toward my true degenerate passion: LoL. Finally found time for that and am happy with the sample size of games (Bo1's are so fucky , RIP Bo3 in NA/EU).

As always, stay disciplined and BOL☘️

-u/azndy | plusEV Sports

www.plusEVsports.com | @plusEV_Sports | Twitch

LEC

The LEC model seems to be pretty locked on with the books, only a slight edge for Splyce at 1.64 and FNC at 1.2. Kelly Criterion says we take Splyce for 0.34u and FNC at a whooping 3.01u.

I'm personally rolling with SPY at 0.75u and a 1u parlay of the two.

Splyce ML (1.64 > 1.60) vs. SK Gaming - 0.37u

Model Probability: 62.44% vs. Book Probability: 58.90%

Fnatic ML (1.20 > 1.13) vs. Excel Esports - 3.01u

Model Probability: 88.35% vs. Book Probability: 79.31%

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LCS

On to North America, we have 3 model edge picks for the day. No major odds movement since these were posted a few days back.

I'm riding all 3 of these beautiful plays into the sunset.

Golden Guardians ML (1.88 > 1.81) vs. Counter Logic Gaming - 0.42u

Model Probability: 55.17% vs. Book Probability: 52.28%

Cloud9 ML (2.47 > 2.13) vs. Team Liquid - 1.07

Model Probability: 46.84% vs. Book Probability: 43.09%

OpTic Gaming ML (1.65 > 1.51) vs. Echo Fox - 1.48u

Model Probability: 66.44% vs. Book Probability: 57.14%