NFL Betting Edge: Wild Card Weekend
- MG
- Jan 4, 2020
- 3 min read
Playoff weekend is finally here -- guys, we made it. The cream has risen to the top, and now we are on the road to the Super Bowl.
Let's get into it:
Bills v. Texans
My Pick: Bills ML @ 2.27 (2.15+) [1u] on Betonline
Houston's defense is terrrrrrrible, ranked 29th overall on the season, and giving up 128 rushing yards per game. The Bills defense is just the opposite, being 4th best against the pass and 10th best against the run. Sure, JJ Watt is coming back, but he's on a pitch count. I expect Devin Singletary to continue his strong rookie season with John Brown feasting over the middle. Watson will struggle against the pass rush and Hopkins will be limited against White. Allowing the Bills win this outright.
Oddsshark Notes: The Bills are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 road games, while The Texans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as home favorites.
Titans v. Patriots
My Pick: Patriots -4.5 @ 1.901 (1.85+) [1u] on Bookmaker
Twitter was lit this week was that Tom Brady is too old. This is his last game with the Patriots. Their wideouts are too inexperienced, hurt, or straight-up bad. The dynasty is over. Sure, they've limped into the playoffs. But isn't this all awesome fodder for Darth Hoodie to post around the locker room this week and motivate the team with their backs against the wall? It does to me. Tannehill and the Titans are rocking right now on offense, but their defense is...not good. I expect the Patriots do do Patriots things: take away their best weapon and force them to be beat in other ways. By limiting Derrick Henry it will force Tannehill to pass, but with AJ Brown being shadowed by Stephon Gilmore, it leads to mistakes being made. I'm backing the Patriots.
Oddsshark tells us the Patriots are 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 playoff games. The Titans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs the Patriots, though this is without the newly rejuvenated Ryan Tannehill. Tannehill, at least the one we thought we knew, is 0-6 lifetime against the Patriots.
Vikings v. Saints
My Pick: Saints -8 @ 1.97 (1.9+) [1u] on Betonline
This is a layup to me. The Vikings defense is down important players: Mackensie Alexander (knee) and Mike Hughes (neck) against the best wideout in the game right now. Oddshark details that the Vikings are 1-6 SU and ATS in their last 7 games as road underdogs. and the Vikings are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs teams with winning records.
Eagles v. Seahawks
My Pick: Eagles ML @ 2.2 (2.1+) [1u] on Bovada
It's pretty amazing that Carson Wentz became the first NFL quarterback to pass for 4,000 yards and have no wide receivers with 500 yards. Yes, Zach Ertz is out, but Dallas Goedert has slid into the TE1 role without issue. Bart Scott has taken over well in the Darren Sproles role quite well, too. Meanwhile the Seahawks seem...I dunno, off of late? Sure, they came within an inch of beating the 49ers last week, but if anything they've shown their defense is full of holes against the pass and run. Even with the Oddsshark notes below, my gut is telling me that the Eagles pull this one out.
The Seahawks are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games as road favorites.The Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in the late afternoon.The Seahawks are 7-0 SU and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 East Coast games.
Good night, and good luck!
@plusEVSports_MG | www.plusevsports.com
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