Back to back Buffalo Upsets?

Buffalo pulled out the win for us last night at a solid 2.53 odds. The model had a cool 46.94% win projection versus the book giving us 39.53%. Tight game, lots of action, and came down to the wire but the Sabres edged out the win for us.

Today they take flight to Dallas. The Sabres are 2-4 on the road this month while Dallas sits just slightly better with a record of 3-4 at home. Buffalo carries a 5-4 record on the road B2B and Dallas 23-19 after at least a day of rest. In the past 10 games per venue, the Sabres are 3-6-1 versus Dallas who are 4-5-1. Buffalo has done well as road dogs this season and I'd say they're pretty close here. No advantage.

Goal tending is nearly identical with both goalies performing slightly above average and nearly identical save percentages. Bishop has struggled a bit with high and medium threat opportunities. The model gives Buffalo take a slight edge here. Slight Advantage Sabres.

Overall, the model has this capped at 47.77% to 52.23%, giving us a significant edge over the books. Betonline has the best odds as of now, giving the Sabres less than a 40% implied probability.

Take the Sabres, 1 unit @ 2.56

As always, stay disciplined and BOL☘️