LEC - Week 3 Day 1

2019 LoL Record: 4-2 | +2.8u, 46.66% ROI

An interesting start to the season to say the least. The model needs more data a there's so many new teams and roster shake-ups. I'm hoping to have some projections in the coming weeks. League has always been tough for me to model out so I only use the data projections for about 50% of my decision.

Odds are pretty tight today although I do think there's some value on Rogue at 2.99 against Fnatic. Not pulling the trigger though because they've proven to be getting absolutely stomped by most teams and it's only a matter of time before Fnatic get things on track.

I really like Splyce as dogs against S04. The data has this as a fairly close match-up but Splyce has had a much easier schedule thus far. I'm pretty high on this S04 roster this split but at 2.24 I think it's most definitely +EV.

We'll see how the day goes. In the past, I've noticed that a lot of EU favorites tend to take it but with Bo1 upsets are much more common.

Today's pick:

• Splyce ML vs S04 @ 2.24 (1.9+)

As always, stay disciplined and BOL☘️