NBA Picks - 1/29/2019

The Brooklyn Nets host Chicago tonight at home. Brooklyn has played their best basketball in YEARS this season and I expect them to show up tonight versus a Chicago Bulls team that isn't deep and has struggled all year. Some say the Bulls are strategically positioning themselves for a prime Draft pick; I completely agree and the numbers for tonight back up my theory.

The Nets are 14-12 at home, 9-5 as favorites, and 3-1 with a line of -7. Brooklyn is covering the spread 56% (5th best in the NBA) vs Chicago covering 43% (4th worse in the NBA).

One of the only metrics these teams share similar results in their records ATS on 1 days rest; the Nets are 17-13 and Chicago is 15-18. It's a different story when you look at the record of both teams straight up on 1 days rest: Nets 17-13 but Chicago is only 7-26.

This is a classic game between 2 teams going in opposite directions. It feels just like the Golden St. vs Indiana Pacers game last night. Road team favored by 7-8 but wins by 30. This one will be closer, but I'll take Brooklyn -7 and the game total UNDER 220.

🏀 BROOKLYN -7

🏀 BROOKLYN/CHICAGO TOTAL UNDER 220