NCAAB ACTION

Although Pepperdine has a mediocre 9-11 record, the Pepperdine Waves boast a solid 8-4 home record. They operate with a 7 man rotation; showing a lack of depth, but are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games.

Although St Mary's has a solid 13-8 record, they're just 2-3 on the road...and havent looked good in any of those performances. St. Mary's comes off of a tough road loss to a good BYU team. St Mary's played in Utah (vs BYU) 2 nights ago and now are playing over 5 hrs away from home.

Pepperdine is a decent defensive team. They allow 74 PPG and 46% FG per game, but lead their conference in turnover margin. St Mary's averages 76 PPG and 49% from the field. Defensively, St. Mary's allows just 65 ppg and 44% from the field. St. Mary's only averages 1 more 3 pt fg per game (9) than Pepperdine (8) and shoots slightly better from downtown than Pepperdine (39% for St. Mary's to 37% for Pepperdine).

One of the most telling stats between these 2 teams contradicts most of what I've already talked about up to this point. The road team in this matchup is 22-7 ATS in the last 29 matchups. Give me the deeper, more explosive offensive team. ST. MARY'S -8.