NHL Daily Edge - 2/12/19

Andy Jung
Feb 12, 2019
2 min read

Did a ton of research last night and put more work into the model. Made some tweaks to even better understand how these teams have been performing and have a few additional pieces I want to factor in. I will continue learning from weeks like this and get us to a great place this season and beyond.

In the meantime, prevent your bankroll from evaporating by tailing chance231994 for now, dude is straight fire.

The Daily Edge VOD is available on Twitch and YouTube soon. I am super tired because I spent so much time last night on research/modeling.

To sum things up, I made some revisions to the model on my phone this morning and it's not working perfectly. The odds adjustments are minimal but I did have to remove a few stats on several picks. I looked back at the current edge we're taking and made adjustments to more significant advantages, hence the 2 picks today.

Another thing that I considered and am in the process of backtesting is matches with >60% implied probability (both model and book, edge not a factor). I took those today, in regulation, very small bets: STL, NYI, TOR, CAR, and WPG.

Learning Python, as this will be extremely valuable compared to my present peasant ways.

In other news, /u/sippy47 will be joining us on Twitch next week for an interview, a look behind the logic, and will field some questions from you guys! Feel free to email what you want answered on stream to andy@plusevsports.com. Details and broadcast time TBD

As always, stay disciplined and BOL☘️

50-43 | +20.40u, 21.93% ROI | Avg. Odds 2.29