Quoth the Raven “Nevermore,” NFL Betting Edge Week 15 TNF Value Bets

MG
Dec 12, 2019
2 min read

My Pick: Ravens -15.5 @ 1.84 (1.75+) on Betonline

I am going to keep this simple: the Ravens are the team to beat right now in the AFC. And the Jets are...well...the Jets. Even as a hardcore Patriots fan, it’s hard not to enjoy watching the Ravens ball out for 60 minutes. Time and again, even if a nailbiter situation, the Ravens have proven that they’re legit. Especially so after having a brutal stretch of the Bills, 49ers, and Rams in as many weeks.

I don’t think I need to say anything more about this game, you know where it’s heading: Ravens in a blowout. I legitimately question whether the Jets can even score with how bad their offensive line is.

Couple of fast facts for you, according to Oddsshark:

Teams favored by 14 or more points this season are 10-1 SU and 6-5 ATS.
Teams favored by 14 or more points on Thursday nights are 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS all-time.
This season, teams are 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS in that situation.
This will be the first time Baltimore’s been a home favorite of 14 or more points since 2014 and the Ravens are 6-0 SU, 3-3 ATS and 2-4 O/U with three consecutive UNDERS all-time.
The Jets are 1-6 SU in their last 7 road games.
The Ravens are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.
The Jets are 0-10 SU in their last 10 road games vs teams with winning records.

It’s a lot of points, I know. But this is a team that held the Rams to a total of 6 points on the road with a better team and far better coaching. This makes me question how the hell they lost to the Browns, but whatever -- with the ball the Ravens are playing I think they dismantle the Jets from cockpit to the tail.

Prop Bet Considerations: