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Sunday Betting tips, predictions, and analysis - Our team is +29 units this season!

  • Writer: MG
    MG
  • Oct 20, 2019
  • 4 min read

2019 Record: 34-18 +29.32u Profit (43.66% ROI)


Vikings at Lions

Before we get into it, we gotta talk about the Lions loss to the Packers last week. It was *bullshit*. Yeah, we can blame a decent amount on the Lions offense not being able to capitalize off great opportunities, leaving at least 3 touchdowns un-scored and opting for field goals. Even still, an objective observer, upon seeing the replay of the penalties being called, especially the illegal hands to the face calls on Trey Flowers, absolute bullshit. Flowers hands were clearly on the shoulders, and no where near the face, which handed the Packers the game.


Anyway, thanks for letting me blow off steam. Back to the reason why you’re here: to make money. The 4-2 Vikings travel to Lions Stadium to take on the 2-2-1 aggrieved Lions. According to Odds Shark, Minnesota is 4-0 straight up and against-the-spread against teams outside of the NFC North this season and 0-2 SU and ATS against division rivals. The Lions, meanwhile, are now 2-2-1 SU and 4-1 ATS. More shockingly, the Lions are just 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with winning records. Detroit is also just 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS in its last five home games against the Vikings.


Team *SKOL* has seemingly found its stride beyond relying on Dalvin Cook’s legs last week against the Eagles’ dreadful secondary. The offense exploded for 400+ yards, mostly through Captain Kirk and Stephon Diggity. Both of whom, by the way, has finally given fantasy owners the breakout game they were looking for. Factoring all this in, we’re taking the Vikings money line in this game.


Final thoughts from Odds Shark:

  • The Vikings are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games in October

  • The Lions are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games vs divisional opponents

  • The total has gone OVER in 11 of the Lions’ last 15 games at home in October


Vikings ML v. Lions @ 1.9 > 1.8 [2u] on Betonline


Texans at Colts

Deshaun Watson, man. Wow. If it weren’t for Russell Wilson and his Factor™, I think we could easily consider Watson in the MVP conversation (RIP Patrick Mahomes getting it this year, and we look forward to him coming back in a few weeks and continuing his Madden style play). I mean, just in the last two games, Watson has thrown for 706 passing yards and 8 total touchdowns. And it would have been more if it weren’t for Baby Hands Will Fuller dropping 3 would-be touchdowns last week (yeah, I started him. And yeah, I was watching RedZone and promptly cried into my beer seeing these awful drops on replay. Maybe I shotgunned a beer afterwards -- IT’S SUNDAY FUNDAY don’t judge me).


Now the Texans face the Colts who, if you had told me were going to witness Andrew Luck retiring at the end of the pre-season, I’d have also told you that they wouldn’t have been 3-2 AND have beaten the Chiefs last week. So, where does this leave us? Well, according to Odds Shark, in the past 5 of the last 6 times that the Texans/Colts have met, the total score has gone under, with an average score of 42.0. Further, the Texans are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. teams with winning records -- and the total has gone under in 25 of the Colts’ last 31 home games vs their division.


But I am going to go out on a limb here and add Watson to the likes of Mahomes and Wilson. In fact, he is deserving of his own title. Sure, I am lame and make nicknames and titles for players in the NFL, but you guys have been following my picks for a few weeks and I’ve been relatively successful at calling certain winners, so I hope you’ll put up with the snark and embrace the titles. Anyway, many of you are familiar with “There’s a Will There’s Way,” right? Probably have heard your mom saying it from time to time like mine has. After you told her you wanted to ask that cute girl out in homeroom. Well, to embrace the absolutely most corny: If A Will, There’s a Watson™.


That’s right. Watson should be able to give this Colts defense a run for its money. Keke Coutee is worthy of a flex start for you fantasy players out there, and I believe they win this by more than the +1 dogs they’re currently slated to be. I think that both Fuller and Nuk make a rebound versus what we have seen from them over the past few weeks. The team is better than Vegas is giving them credit for. In fact, the Texans, with a revitalized Carlos Hyde, are fifth in rushing yards per game, having topped 126 yards in five of six contests this season, including a season-high 192 rushing yards last week against the Chiefs.


On defense, I firmly believe that the Colts will be hampered in getting Marlon Mack going, as the front 7 have gone four straight games without allowing their opponent to top 100 rushing yards. Sure, you’re gunna look at past matchups and see that Hilton eats the Texans defense for lunch, and I am with you. Start him. But in the end, I don’t think his fantasy points matter. Take the Texans +1 over the Colts to the bank.


Texans +1 v. Colts @ 2 > 1.9 [1u] on Betonline

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